The High Price of Safety: The Economic and Strategic Implications of the Iran-Israel Conflict

Mathing out the Iranian Attack

As the dust settles from this weekend’s flurry of activity around Iran’s long range attack on Israel, we’re starting to get better fidelity on what actually happened.

At the same time, it’s a bit hard to parse through the various commentary.

Some commentators highlight the incredible success rate of the defense, which blocked 99% of all of the Iranian systems from reaching Israel. Undoubtedly, Israel’s Iron Dome and the coalition effort to defend were incredible.

Some commentators discuss that Iran didn’t truly intend to strike Israel, and so they telegraphed their moves in a way that would allow Israel to defend itself while still allowing Iran to claim retribution for the April 1 attack against its mission in Damascus.

As my friend Noah Sheinbaum of Defense Tech Jobs rightly pointed out earlier this morning, of the numerous claims being made about the attack, more than one can be right at any time.

So, how do we evaluate winners and losers?